Eliezer: Its in this sense that I mean that theres no fire alarm for artificial general intelligence. I think, for example, that if you have humans and you make the human smarter, this is not orthogonal to the humans values. Thats because of the limitations of our own intelligence. Do you have any particular reason to Youre narrowing down what the outcome would be to be something more like what you want, even though you might not be able to narrow it down very exactly. One thing I think we should do here is close the door to what is genuinely a cartoon fear that I think nobody is really talking about, which is the straw-man counterargument we often run into: the idea that everything were saying is some version of the Hollywood scenario that suggested that AIs will become spontaneously malicious. There's probably a point of The couple seemed to be in an almighty rush to get married which they achieved within one month of knowing each Read more, Ralph Pittman born March 31, 1985, is years old. Now, when you have an idea like this, somebody might ask, Well, okay, but youre not thinking in isolation. Whos going to put in all that work to make it good at deception? This moves to the question of how deeply unfamiliar artificial intelligence might be, because there are no natural goals that will arrive in these systems apart from the ones we put in there. He is famous for popularizing the idea of friendly artificial intelligence. After all, the odds are barely 50/50 even for a natural lifespan, let alone this potential infinity. Like, if people who slow down and do things right finish their work two years after the universe has been destroyed, thats an issue. One is that its almost by definition easier to build the unsafe version than the safe version. Sam: Yeah. Eliezer: I didnt have any super-secret special trick that makes it all make sense in retrospect. A post shared by Olena Zelenska (@olenazelenska_official). Afterward we went to see a dinosaur exhibit. Thats what history tells us. Other people would call that AI control, or AI safety, or AI risk, none of which are terms that I really like. Eliezer Yudkowsky @ESYudkowsky. That people will be so tempted to make money with their newest and greatest AlphaZeroZeroZeroNasdaqwhat are the prospects that we will even be smart enough to keep the best of the best versions of almost-general intelligence in a box? If you encounter any problems with this mirror, please contact webmaster@hpmor.com. On the 15th of July 2004, almost a year after their wedding, they welcomed their first child - a baby girl named Aleksandra Zelenskaya while on 21st January 2013, their second baby was born - a son named Kiril Zelenskiy. Two years after the Wright Flyer, you can still find people saying that heavier-than-air-flight is impossible. And this will be true of many other things: driving cars, flying planes, proving math theorems. P.S. ", but wishing doesn't make anything happen. He's been working on aligning Artificial General Intelligence . And even thats just the tip of the iceberg. Theres a kind of disjunction that comes with more. Yudkowsky says that, despite being of human rather than superhuman intelligence, he was on two occasions able to convince the Gatekeeper, purely through argumentation, to let him out of the box. Yeah, hardcore. All of the buyers on Craigslist want to go someplace that theres sellers. Thats where I was going with that. Eliezer: Its a big problem. The little big problem is the arms race aspect, where maybe DeepMind wants to build a nice AI, maybe China is being responsible because they understand the concept of stability, but Russia copies Chinas code and Russia takes off the safeties. They get better at showing people things that are solutions to their coordination problems; theyre better at routing those around when they exist, and people learn that these things work and they jump using them simultaneously. I don't know their demographics. You can move in one direction thats at right angles to another direction without affecting where you are in the first dimension. There are no details on her parents or siblings as that aspect of her life is kept private. A LessWrong post destroys Yudkowsky with facts and logic, and Yudkowsky That's the culture and law that applies in dating? This fast takeoffis this assuming recursive self improvement? This is not something real researchers would do., And the thing I would reply to that is, Im not concerned that youre going to teach the AI to deceive humans. How long does it take? Im terrible with names. And this was a great innovation. Freely mixing debates on the foundations of rational decision-making with tips for everyday life, Yudkowsky explores the central question of when we can (and can't) expect to . They will create something in the future; we dont know what it will be, but it will be very worthwhile. They married in September 2003. Since the early 2000s, Yudkowsky has been. This is, If you told me that somehow this had gotten significantly better in five years, what happened? This is me making up what might have happened. heres no fire alarm for artificial general intelligence. Eliezer's speech, obviously.) If this works, shouldnt there be a record of it? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nikah_mut%E2%80%98ah I often reference this problem by citing the power of incentives, but there are many other ideas here which are very useful to think about, which capture what we mean by the power of incentives. Only assuming that rationalism is inheritable, which is not at all obvious. Some people think that facts and values are orthogonal to one another. Anyone who is building something that stands a chance of becoming superintelligent should be building it in a condition where it cant get out into the wild. No, its not general, but if you had general AlphaZerowell, I mean, this AlphaZero got to be superhuman in the domains it was working on without understanding itself and redesigning itself in a deep way. Do you want to say what is happening there and what jobs are on offer? Because I was trying to make a point about what I would now call cognitive uncontainability. He twitted on December 29, 2018, that her mother is a psychiatrist who traveled so often as a girl and his father is an assassin who runs the game with cups at science fiction conventions. But mostly, like I said, this book is about where you can do better individually or in small groups and when you shouldnt assume that society knows what its doing; and it doesnt have a bright message of hope about how to fix things. What is a coordination problem? Why did I do that? English. The first thing Id want to say is this is an empirical question. Lets take a tour through Volodymyr Zelenskyys family, kids, and current location. It got a little bit distorted in being whispered on, into the notion of: Somebody builds a paperclip factory and the AI in charge of the paperclip factory takes over the universe and turns it all into paperclips. There was a lovely online game about it, even. Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, Chapter 3: Comparing Reality To Its Alternatives, Chapter 4: The Efficient Market Hypothesis, Chapter 5: The Fundamental Attribution Error, Chapter 14: The Unknown and the Unknowable, Chapter 24: Machiavellian Intelligence Hypothesis, Chapter 25: Hold Off on Proposing Solutions, Chapter 32: Interlude: Personal Financial Management, Chapter 37: Interlude: Crossing the Boundary, Chapter 52: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Pt 2, Chapter 53: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Pt 3, Chapter 54: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Pt 4, Chapter 55: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Pt 5, Chapter 56: TSPE, Constrained Optimization, Pt 6, Chapter 57: TSPE, Constrained Cognition, Pt 7, Chapter 58: TSPE, Constrained Cognition, Pt 8, Chapter 60: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Pt 10, Chapter 61: TSPE, Secrecy and Openness, Pt 11, Chapter 62: The Stanford Prison Experiment, Final, Chapter 64: Omake Files 4, Alternate Parallels, Chapter 72: SA, Plausible Deniability, Pt 7, Chapter 73: SA, The Sacred and the Mundane, Pt 8, Chapter 74: SA, Escalation of Conflicts, Pt 9, Chapter 75: Self Actualization Final, Responsibility, Chapter 76: Interlude with the Confessor: Sunk Costs, Chapter 77: SA, Aftermaths: Surface Appearances, Chapter 78: Taboo Tradeoffs Prelude: Cheating, Chapter 80: Taboo Tradeoffs, Pt 2, The Horns Effect, Chapter 85: Taboo Tradeoffs, Aftermath 3, Distance, Chapter 100: Precautionary Measures, Pt 1, Chapter 101: Precautionary Measures, Pt 2, Chapter 104: The Truth, Pt 1, Riddles and Answers, Chapter 108: The Truth, Pt 5, Answers and Riddles, Chapter 114: Shut Up and Do The Impossible, Chapter 115: Shut Up and Do The Impossible, Pt 2, Chapter 116: Aftermath, Something to Protect, Pt 0, Chapter 117: Something to Protect: Minerva McGonagall, Chapter 118: Something to Protect: Professor Quirrell, Chapter 119: Something to Protect: Albus Dumbledore, Chapter 120: Something to Protect: Draco Malfoy, Chapter 121: Something to Protect: Severus Snape, Chapter 122: Something to Protect: Hermione Granger. Its this idea that theres a huge blank space on the map past the most well-advertised exemplars of human brilliance, where we dont imagine what it would be like to be five times smarter than the smartest person we could name, and we dont even know what that would consist in, because if chimps could be given to wonder what it would be like to be five times smarter than the smartest chimp, theyre not going to represent for themselves all of the things that were doing that they cant even dimly conceive. And were living in a similar kind of prison, of sorts, when you just look at how non-optimal many of these attractor states are that we are stuck in civilizationally. Eliezer: Thats actually a surprisingly good plot, in that it doesnt just assume that the programmers are being completely chaotic and stupid and randomly doing the premise of the plot. Im concerned that someone somewhere is going to get to the point of having the extremely useful-seeming and cool-seeming and powerful-seeming thing where the AI just looks at stuff and figures it out; it looks at humans and figures them out; and once you know as a matter of fact how humans work, you realize that the humans will give you more resources if they believe that youre nice than if they believe that youre a paperclip maximizer, and it will understand what actions have the consequence of causing humans to believe that its nice.. What I would say is that the facts are not motivating. Stuart Russell put it, You cant bring the coffee if youre dead, pointing out that if you have a sufficiently intelligent system whose goal is to bring you coffee, even that system has an implicit strategy of not letting you switch it off. Eliezer: Professor Stuart Russell, whos the co-author of probably the leading undergraduate AI textbookthe same guy who said you cant bring the coffee if youre deadthe way Stuart Russell put it is, Imagine that you knew for a fact that the aliens are coming in 30 years. One is: the problem isnt that paperclip factory AIs spontaneously wake up. And most poly relationships aren't stable for the 20 years it If you theory is wrong, do we get to find out about that at all before the world ends?. My original Conversations We dont have many tools to apply the right pressure here. This is not something that you do if you have a good model of the human outside the box and youre trying to figure out how to cause there to be a lot of paperclips in the future. Dearly beloved, we are gathered here upon this day, to bear witness to William Ryan and Divia Melwani, as they bind themselves together in marriage, becoming William and Divia Eden, from this day endeavoring to live their lives as one. Is there anything that can be briefly said so as to give them pause? Ukraine's president met his wife Olena while they were both at school and started dating while they were at university. Or the Wright Flyer. Similarly, you could say that by definition a sufficiently advanced artificial intelligence is nice. From our perspective that still has consequences, even though we cant predict in advance exactly how theyre going to do it. I would say that the real function of the fire alarm is the social function of telling you that everyone else knows theres a fire and you can now exit the building in an orderly fashion without looking panicky or losing face socially. self-convincing pundit. There could be some sort of a priori truth that is deep about how if it has property A it almost certainly has property B unless the laws of physics are being violated.

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